In the 15th round of the Premier League, Manchester City lost 0-1 to Villa and is now 6 points behind the top of the Premier League.
According to the supercomputer prediction of the data agency Opta, Manchester City’s probability of winning this season has dropped by 13.2% after losing this round, but it is still regarded as the favorite to win the championship.
Before this round, Opta predicted that Manchester City’s final winning probability was 67.1%. After the game, this number dropped to 53.9%.
Manchester City is currently regarded as the favorite to win the Premier League with a 53.9% probability of winning, followed by Arsenal with 22.9% and Liverpool with 20.7%. Villa’s winning probability of 1.2% ranks fourth, and the other teams’ winning probability is less than 1%.
Opta predicts the probability of winning the Premier League this season (as of December 7)
- Manchester City: 53.9%
- Arsenal: 22.9%
- Liverpool: 20.7%
- Vera: 1.2%
- Newcastle: 0.9%
- Tottenham: 0.3%